Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 11.322072 12.965346 14.778387 16.929562 19.415585 22.202175 25.567921
2025-09-28 8.944150 11.034327 13.527595 16.729972 20.747393 25.637897 32.069271
2025-10-05 7.862965 10.233775 13.225502 17.296240 22.719657 29.736620 39.568519
2025-10-12 7.056522 9.593698 12.946095 17.729284 24.427222 33.544358 47.016702
2025-10-19 6.500147 9.178460 12.861941 18.340446 26.355529 37.766288 55.444922
2025-10-26 5.730942 8.360112 12.102919 17.873456 26.643427 39.627858 60.597915
2025-11-02 5.159014 7.752331 11.562181 17.632894 27.188045 41.856525 66.477949
2025-11-09 4.688349 7.239738 11.098249 17.436693 27.742844 44.106676 72.582963
2025-11-16 4.275943 6.771467 10.648232 17.199645 28.180042 46.173440 78.565963
2025-11-23 3.896154 6.315984 10.170138 16.857612 28.388397 47.851495 84.027486
2025-11-30 3.773347 6.263617 10.331736 17.582913 30.453172 52.846595 95.860606
2025-12-07 3.573546 6.062636 10.224805 17.830268 31.696597 56.513295 105.667129
2025-12-14 3.337591 5.783062 9.965848 17.795932 32.450434 59.411402 114.445319
2025-12-21 3.096748 5.473914 9.627940 17.584780 32.852549 61.692015 122.285334
2025-12-28 3.000683 5.414061 9.725445 18.181796 34.832415 67.156561 137.146186
2026-01-04 2.891531 5.319881 9.750091 18.638398 36.577453 72.329893 152.019819
2026-01-11 2.814794 5.278837 9.867968 19.282868 38.754680 78.585797 169.964606
2026-01-18 2.602755 4.962182 9.435259 18.790421 38.551783 79.898259 177.163144
2026-01-25 2.437646 4.723610 9.134294 18.536761 38.819539 82.222482 186.917253
2026-02-01 2.291666 4.511404 8.868126 18.329885 39.163310 84.736850 197.406020
2026-02-08 2.153020 4.303290 8.593655 18.079951 39.385463 86.996450 207.551149
2026-02-15 2.014343 4.084713 8.280918 17.719343 39.323210 88.598752 216.271137
2026-02-22 1.993226 4.108705 8.473367 18.484060 41.899029 96.569644 242.007148